Because we are all subject to cognitive biases like hindsight and self-serving bias, Duke argues we can't do it alone. She advocates for forming "truth-seeking groups" — small teams where the goal is accuracy, not being right, and where members can help each other identify flaws in their reasoning. In these groups, she suggests replacing the word "but" with "and," as in, "Yes, I see your point, AND here's another factor to consider." This simple change turns conversations from confrontational debates into collaborative explorations.
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She would conclude:
Imagine it’s 12 months from now and your decision failed. What went wrong? Plan for those risks today . Because we are all subject to cognitive biases
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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts